Thursday, February 23, 2012

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Matt Fargo
Matt is coming off a PERFECT 2-0 Tuesday! He is now a POWERFUL 133-99-7 in all sports in 2012 and he has EIGHT Plays for Wednesday (5 CBB and 3 NBA)!
SHORT STATS
Last 7 days Units ROI Pct WL
Moneyline Picks +300.0 units +44.8% 80% 4-1
Last 30 days Units ROI Pct WL
ATS Picks +592.0 units +4.8% 54% 60-51
Overall Picks +454.0 units +3.1% 54% 70-60
Top Play Picks +99.0 units +1.5% 53% 30-27
Last 60 days Units ROI Pct WL
Overall Picks +2593.0 units +8.4% 57% 154-116
ATS Picks +2006.0 units +8.1% 56% 126-99
Top Play Picks +1786.0 units +12.4% 58% 76-54
Moneyline Picks +813.0 units +14.9% 67% 26-13
FREE PICKS
Matchup Selection Starts
NCAA-B  |  Feb 22, 2012
Cal Santa Barbara vs. Long Beach State
Cal Santa Barbara
+8-108
  at  5DIMES
in 14m
Matt is coming off a PERFECT 2-0 SWEEP last night with rocking chair winners on Colorado St. and Portland! He carries that momentum into Wednesday as he is releasing a MONSTER card with EIGHT Hoops Winners (5 CBB and 3 NBA)! He extends his SIZZLING 86-64-6 ATS CBB run as well as his COMMANDING 60-39-3 NBA run! Do not miss out!

Early in the season many thought this game would have some big implications toward the Big West regular season championship but this now not the case. Long Beach St. has pretty much run away with the title although it is not mathematically over. The 49ers are a perfect 12-0 in the conference with four games remaining and they possess a three-game lead so barring a serious meltdown, they will be the top seed heading into the conference tournament.

Santa Barbara is 9-3 in the Big West and it knows the race is not over year as it still has a chance to catch the 49ers. It will need some help along the way but most important, it needs to take car of its own business first and foremost. The Gauchos have been playing very consistent basketball and are in the midst of their best run of the season as they have won six of their last seven games with five of those victories coming on the road. They are coming off a Bracketbuster win Saturday at Utah St.

Even though it may mean little at this point, Long Beach St. is coming off a gut wrenching loss at Creighton on Saturday as they lost on a last-second bucket. It snapped a 12-game winning streak and a tough loss like that can carry forward. The 49ers have yet to lose at home this season so the undefeated record there as well in conference play may look like it doesn't give the Gauchos a chance to win but we are getting a very healthy line and one that Santa Barbara can easily stay within.

That doesn't mean the Gauchos can't win this game outright. They will no doubt be fired up for this game following the first meeting where it was hammered at home by the 49ers by 23 points which is its worst loss of the season and they have played some other very strong teams along the way. Long Beach St. has owned this series spread-wise but this is easily the biggest number it has laid in a very long time. The 49ers are just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a win against the number. 3* (607) Santa Barbara Gauchos
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 21, 2012
New Mexico vs. Colorado St
Colorado St
+6-108
  at  5DIMES
Won
$100
We won with Colorado St. on Saturday and we will ride the Rams once again here in a big matchup for both teams. The Rams are tied for fourth place in the MWC after the win over Wyoming and it has been the home/road splits that have been the difference in their 5-5 record. The Rams have won all of their conference home games and have lost all of their league road contests so getting points at home here benefits Colorado St. Overall the Rams are 12-1 at home, the only loss coming against Southern Mississippi.

New Mexico has a two-game lead in the MWC as it is coming off back-to-back blowout wins over San Diego St. and UNLV, the two teams that were right in the hunt heading into those games. The Lobos have been solid on the road this season with a 7-1 record but bow their success is catching up to them in their lines. New Mexico was favored by 7.5 points at Boise St. two road games ago and are favored by close to that same amount against a team that is significantly better.

Part of the reason for playing the Rams against Wyoming was because of the revenge aspect and they get a chance to duplicate that here. Colorado St. lost in New Mexico last month and it wasn't even close as the Lobos dominated by 33 points. They dominated the boards 37-27, knocked down nine three-pointers, forced 20 turnovers and win the bench scoring battle 42-5. Expect a highly motivated effort from the Rams who won the meeting at home last season.

Having played one of the toughest schedules in the country, the Rams RPI stands at No. 30 this week but they are still on the outside looking into the big dance. They could use one or two more quality wins and this game sure qualifies for that. Colorado St. falls into a great situation where we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread going up against an opponent covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread. This situation is 36-11 ATS (76.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (744) Colorado St. Rams
NBA  |  Feb 21, 2012
San Antonio Spurs vs. Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers
-3½-110
  at  SIA
Won
$100
San Antonio burned us again last night with a narrow win and cover in Utah. We will be going against them here again though as this road run comes to an end. The Spurs have won 11 straight games including their first seven games during this roadtrip. The last two could have gone either way however and now playing their third tough opponent in four nights makes the challenge even tougher to keep the streak going. The depth has taken a big hit and could be in even worse shape tonight.

While the Spurs were winning in Utah, the Blazers were losing in Los Angeles as they were throttled by the Lakers in a game that was not as close as the final score indicated. Portland trailed by an many as 30 points as it was outscored 37-7 to start the game and never had a chance. That presents us with a good rebound opportunity as Portland heads back home where it is 12-5 on the season. The Blazers got back to their wining ways at home with a win over Atlanta after losing four straight.

As mentioned, the Spurs are pretty thin right now. In the win over the Clippers, they paid a price as Manu Ginobili got hurt again and is out for a while and center Tiago Splitter also left the Clippers game with an injury. Both are out until March. On top of this Tim Duncan has logged nearly 79 minutes in his last two games on Saturday and Monday so he could very well sit out tonight or be limited in hid minutes. The Spurs got key contributions late from reserves last night and that isn't likely to happen again.

The Blazers are 13-3 ATS as favorites of four points or more this season so this is a situation they have excelled at. They have been great avoiding long losing streaks as they are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss while going 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a spread loss. Portland had won three straight games in this series but lost the first meeting this season in San Antonio which sets up a revenge spot. The Blazers have won six straight at home in this series. 10* (710) Portland Trailblazers
SERVICE BIO
Matt Fargo is becoming recognized as one of the best and most consistent handicappers in the world. He has been handicapping professionally since his college days and his hard work and dedication have paid off considerably. In his 14 years of handicapping, Fargo has had winning seasons 11 times and has not had only one losing season in the past 10 campaigns. He brings with him numerous high ranking finishes in all sports with 23 Top Tens in the past five years alone including four #1's. Matt has appeared on numerous radio shows over the last few years giving out sought after information, free plays and spot-on analysis that the bettor needs. He is commonly referred to as �Mr. Analysis� as his game day reports are considered to be some of the finest and most thorough available anywhere. If you want reasoning for a play, Matt gives it to you. Rating Scale Play Rating will be displayed in each title and range anywhere from 5* to 10* for Premium Plays and 3* for Free Plays. Enforcer – this is the Signature Play for Matt and is usually backed with a 10* Rating unless otherwise noted. Supreme Annihilator – this is typically a favorite or a pickem that Matt feels has the opportunity to destroy the line. Dark Horse Dandy – this is an underdog that is being faded for the wrong reasons and usually has a chance to win a game outright. Star Attraction – this is a game that can be seen on national television providing great watch and win opportunities. Total Dominator – while rare, these are the best over/under releases and occur more in football and baseball than any other sports.